Predict Supplier Failures.
90 Days Before They Happen.
Before SAP Even Knows.
SupplyChain Prophet scans 8 external signal categories, analyzes 340 suppliers in 30 minutes, and delivers 94%+ prediction accuracy — all running inside your SAP BTP.
How Prophet Saved $45M:
$45M in Revenue Risk, Avoided.
A Fortune 500 manufacturer. 340 suppliers. $2.8B annual procurement. One Tier-2 PCB supplier was about to destroy their Q4 production schedule.
SAP Verdict: "Everything looks fine."
Prophet Score
Prophet generates CRITICAL alert — Score 89
Procurement team reviews alternative suppliers ranked by Prophet
Emergency POs issued to 3 pre-qualified alternatives
Supplier files for bankruptcy — zero production impact for manufacturer
8 External Signal Categories.
SAP Can't See Any of Them.
SAP only knows what suppliers tell you. Prophet monitors what they cannot hide — financial filings, shipping data, employee behavior, and more.
Financial Health Monitoring
Tier-2 PCB supplier: debt/equity ratio jumped from 1.8 to 4.2 in 9 months — 3 consecutive quarters of negative operating cash flow detected
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment score dropped from +0.3 to -0.7 after local news reported "mass layoffs at supplier industrial park"
Credit Rating Surveillance
Downgrade from BBB to BB with negative outlook — CDS spread widened 180bps in 2 weeks
Shipping & Logistics Intelligence
Outbound container bookings from supplier port dropped 40% vs. 90-day average — zero explanation from supplier
Geopolitical Risk Assessment
New US-China tariff tranche announced — 3 suppliers in affected Fujian province flagged within 2 hours
Weather & Climate Disruption
Category 4 typhoon forecast to hit Guangdong coast in 72 hours — 12 suppliers in impact zone flagged for contingency activation
Social Media Intelligence
30% of supplier engineering staff changed LinkedIn status to "Open to Work" — Glassdoor reviews mention "unpaid salaries" and "management exodus"
Commodity Price Pressure
Copper prices up 34% in 60 days — PCB manufacturers with thin margins (< 8%) flagged for margin compression risk
Three Prediction Engines.
Purpose-Built AI. One Score.
Each engine specializes in a different type of supply chain risk. Together, they produce the unified Prophet Score.
Supplier Failure Predictor
Bankruptcy, insolvency, operational shutdown, acquisition-driven disruption
Predicted Tier-2 PCB supplier insolvency 47 days before filing — combined financial deterioration signals with workforce exodus data to generate Prophet Score 89
Demand Disruption Forecaster
Demand spikes, seasonal shifts, market contraction, order pattern anomalies
Predicted 340% demand surge for semiconductor components 6 weeks before the automotive industry rush — triggered pre-emptive buffer stock recommendations
Logistics Risk Assessor
Route disruptions, port congestion cascades, carrier reliability degradation, customs delays
Flagged Suez Canal alternative routing risk 12 days before Red Sea shipping disruptions escalated — recommended Mediterranean re-routing saved 18 days lead time
The Prophet Score: 0 to 100.
One Number. Complete Clarity.
Three prediction engines combine their outputs into a single, actionable score. Every supplier in your SAP vendor master gets a Prophet Score — updated continuously.
Standard monitoring — quarterly review cycle
All signals within normal parameters. Continue existing procurement strategy.
Enhanced monitoring — weekly reviews, identify 2-3 alternative suppliers
One or more signals showing deterioration. Pre-qualify backup suppliers proactively.
Activate alternatives — reduce exposure, split orders, shorten PO commitments
Multiple signals corroborate risk. Begin shifting volume to qualified alternatives.
Emergency sourcing — stop new POs, execute contingency plan, notify stakeholders
Imminent disruption expected. Execute emergency procurement protocols immediately.
Prophet Flags the Risk.
Then Hands You the Solution.
When a supplier crosses into High or Critical risk, Prophet automatically identifies, ranks, and pre-qualifies alternative suppliers — so your team acts in hours, not weeks.
Identify Alternatives
Scans your SAP vendor master data, approved supplier lists, and historical procurement records to find every qualified alternative.
Cross-references material groups, certifications, and geographic coverage
Rank by Fit
Scores alternatives on 5 dimensions: capability match, lead time, quality history (PPM), geographic proximity, and cost competitiveness.
Weighted scoring customizable per material group and criticality level
Pre-Qualify Compliance
Validates ISO certifications, industry-specific compliance (IATF 16949, AS9100), sanctions screening, and sustainability ratings.
Automated compliance checks against 12 certification frameworks
Generate Emergency POs
Creates draft purchase orders with optimized quantities, negotiated framework agreement pricing, and expedited delivery terms.
Pre-populated POs ready for one-click approval in SAP ME51N
Migration Timeline
Produces a day-by-day migration plan including qualification testing, first article inspection, ramp-up schedule, and volume transfer.
Typical migration: 14-21 days for standard components, 45-60 days for custom
The $4.5 Trillion Problem
Nobody Saw Coming.
Most companies discover supply chain disruptions the day they happen. Prophet gives you 30 to 90 days of advance warning.
Annual global supply chain disruption costs
Source: Interos Annual Report
Of companies suffered a supply chain disruption in 2024
Source: BCI Supply Chain Resilience Report
Average disruption impact per company per year
Source: McKinsey Global Institute
Average early warning lead time — companies react AFTER disruption
Source: Gartner Supply Chain Risk Survey
Days of early warning Prophet provides before disruption hits
Source: ZYNOVIQ Customer Data
The Detection Gap
Traditional procurement teams operate with zero forward visibility. By the time a supplier misses a delivery, the damage is already cascading through your production lines, customer commitments, and revenue forecasts.
Your CPO Command Center.
Built Into SAP Fiori.
No separate login. No external tool. Prophet integrates directly into your SAP Fiori launchpad — one tile, full supply chain risk visibility.
Supplier Risk Heat Map
Interactive world map showing all 340+ suppliers color-coded by Prophet Score across 12+ countries. Drill down by region, material group, or risk level.
Top 10 At-Risk Suppliers
Real-time ranked list of your highest-risk suppliers with Prophet Scores, trend arrows, primary risk drivers, and days-to-predicted-event countdown.
Prediction Timeline
Gantt-style view showing when each predicted disruption is expected to materialize — 30, 60, and 90-day horizons with confidence intervals.
Alternative Supplier Readiness
For every at-risk supplier, see pre-qualified alternatives with capability scores, available capacity, and estimated switchover time.
Financial Exposure Dashboard
Dollar-value exposure per supplier: open POs, committed spend, revenue at risk, and potential production line impact if supplier fails.
Signal Intelligence Feed
Live stream of all 8 signal categories with AI-generated summaries. Filter by supplier, signal type, severity, or date range.
Don't Wait for the Next
Supply Chain Crisis.
90-day free trial. All four engines included. No credit card. No commitment. Your data never leaves your system. Prophet starts monitoring your suppliers from Day 1.